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  • Nigeria stops RDAS FX sales - Updated Wed February 18, 2015

    Event • According to a statement published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the RDAS/ WDAS window under which foreign exchange was previously available at a subsidised rate will effectively be discontinued. Going forward, all demand for FX wi...

  • 15-Dec – Fed: Considerably patient - Updated Sun December 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore - NODX expansion expected due to favourable base effect • Euro area – December PMI will likely improve marginally • Nigeria – November CPI likely to reflect FX weakness • Market focus • We think the Fed will repla...

  • Nigeria – Elections and oil fears - Updated Fri December 12, 2014

    • Weak oil earnings contribute to Nigeria’s structural challenges; more reform is anticipated • Fiscal policy in 2015 plans to adopt a scenario-based approach to accommodate the weaker oil price • Elections still represent a key risk; the NGN is l...

  • Africa – 2015: The winners and the losers - Updated Tue December 2, 2014

    GDP growth will likely remain robust in 2015; oil prices will be a key differentiator • Interplay between domestic politics and resource taxation regimes will be closely watched • Expectations of rising resource revenue have driven Eurobond issuan...

  • Nigeria – CBN hikes rates, devalues RDAS FX rate - Updated Tue November 25, 2014

    CBN raises the MPR to 13% and the CRR on private-sector deposits to 20% • RDAS mid-point moved to 168 from 155 • Short USD-NGN carry trade looks moderately more attractive...

  • 24-Nov – CBN response is key to NGN stability - Updated Sun November 23, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Final Q3 GDP may be revised slightly higher • Philippines – Trade balance to remain neutral on subdued imports • Hong Kong – October exports to reflect lingering external headwinds • Market focus • CBN MPC meeti...

  • Nigeria – Policy changes - Updated Thu November 6, 2014

    Central Bank of Nigeria announces changes to its Standing Deposit Facility • SDF deposits by institutions in excess of NGN 7.5bn will no longer be remunerated • More categories of FX demand are excluded from the official RDAS window • Short-dated...

  • 19-Sep – China: PBoC faces an easing dilemma - Updated Thu September 18, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Nigeria – Central bank expected to keep interest rates on hold • Taiwan – Rising export orders likely boosted employment, confidence • EM FX – New ZAR, TRY forecasts, going Underweight short-term ZAR • Market focus • The P...

  • 21-Jul – AXJ impact if Ukraine crisis escalates - Updated Sun July 20, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Inflation likely edged up, but mildly, to 3.0% y/y in Q2 • Nigeria – CBN expected to keep interest rates on hold • United States – July CPI should remain firm, but it is still ‘noisy’ • Market focus • If Ukrain...

  • 19-May − India: A strong electoral mandate - Updated Sun May 18, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Steady tech demand likely supported April export orders • Nigeria – We expect the CBN to hold policy steady • UK – Inflation seems set to stay below target, for now • Market focus • NDA set to form the next gover...

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