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  • Kenya – Future expectations faltered in May - Updated Thu May 28, 2015

    BSI was unchanged in May at 66.9, still consistent with robust growth • However, future expectations softened, as 13 of 15 indicators fell • May production rose and stayed close to series-highs, but new orders and export orders were down • CBK me...

  • Kenya – Business sentiment continues to improve - Updated Thu April 30, 2015

    Kenya’s BSI has continued to improve, rising to 66.9 in April from 60.6 in March • Domestic demand appears to be strong: New orders, production and order backlogs increased in April • Firms continued to report greater credit availability; the indi...

  • Kenya – March BSI: Positive expectations - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Kenya’s BSI rebounds strongly in March to 60.6 from 47.0 in February • Sentiment is more positive across the board – 12 of the 15 current conditions indicators rose in March • Kenyan demand is accelerating; both production and new orders rise str...

  • Kenya – February BSI: Losing momentum - Updated Fri February 27, 2015

    Kenya’s BSI continued its correction in February • February BSI fell to a series low of 47.0, from 58.5 in January • Three-month BSI average is still above 50, indicating expansion...

  • 25-Feb – CNY’s sheepish start to the Year of the Goat - Updated Tue February 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – January exports probably stayed soft • Kenya – CBK expected to keep rates on hold, despite deflation • Japan – Key January data to show recovery; inflation likely slowed • Market focus • China’s onshore FX marke...

  • Kenya – January BSI: Still-strong growth trends - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    Kenya’s BSI Index corrected in January after a strong holiday season • January BSI fell to 58.5 from a series high of 69.1 in December • Seasonal effects aside, the trend is favourable; three-month BSI continues to trend higher...

  • SSA rates 2015 − Battling a bearish FX bias - Updated Tue January 27, 2015

    Nigeria: Oil-price weakness and FX outlook constrain offshore bid; bonds offer value onshore • Ghana: GHS bonds look nominally attractive, despite FX, convertibility and investment-horizon risks • Kenya: KES infrastructure bonds will likely contin...

  • Kenya – December BSI: Holiday-season boost - Updated Wed December 31, 2014

    Business sentiment in Kenya was 69.1 in December after 62.1 in November • Stronger output and new orders helped boost business sentiment • Holiday sales raised indicators significantly...

  • Kenya – Growth optimism and security - Updated Fri December 12, 2014

    • Kenya will probably benefit from lower oil prices in the very near term • Credit growth is healthy; rebasing has revealed a faster growth trend • Issues around security and meaningful fiscal devolution must still be resolved...

  • Africa – 2015: The winners and the losers - Updated Tue December 2, 2014

    GDP growth will likely remain robust in 2015; oil prices will be a key differentiator • Interplay between domestic politics and resource taxation regimes will be closely watched • Expectations of rising resource revenue have driven Eurobond issuan...

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