Choose the category below to
refine article list

Regions

Search Results

Results: 1 - 14 of 14 for 
Display 
 per page
Sort result by 
  • Kenya – Above-trend growth still in sight - Updated Tue October 8, 2013

    • Despite a likely setback to tourism, we expect Kenya’s economy to be largely resilient • Even given weaker-than-expected headline GDP in Q2, many other sectors outperformed • Fiscal revenue in Q1-FY14 was above the budget target • Higher headli...

  • Africa Focus – Long-term fundamentals - Updated Tue October 8, 2013

    • The Fed’s decision to postpone tapering QE in September led to a relief rally in some markets. In others, the focus on more negative credit fundamentals remains. With tapering of QE still expected eventually, we look at the underlying trend in mor...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2014 - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of EM bond markets have been greatly exaggerated. Increased global allocations to local EM bond markets have been not cyclical but primarily structural in nature, reflecting these markets’ rising ec...

  • Measuring sustainable development - Updated Wed September 18, 2013

    Most countries now aim to achieve ‘sustainable development’, not just maximum GDP growth. But what does this mean? How can it be measured? And how does it relate to the concept of human well-being and to ‘happiness economics’? • We present a new St...

  • Africa – Local markets outlook - Updated Tue July 16, 2013

    • Local fundamentals are likely to prevail now that some element of an early tapering of QE is priced in • We remain Overweight FX and duration on Nigeria on supportive fundamentals and valuations • We also maintain an Overweight duration stance o...

  • Africa overview – Brighter prospects ahead - Updated Tue July 16, 2013

    • Growth momentum in Sub-Saharan Africa remains largely positive, despite uncertainty related to Fed tapering expectations and slowing trend growth in China • African economies will not be impacted uniformly by a reduction in QE. More liquid marke...

  • Africa Focus - A wealth of diversity - Updated Wed July 10, 2013

    • Prospects in the Sub-Saharan African region remain largely positive, despite uncertainty related to market expectations of Fed tapering, and a slowdown in China’s growth trend to more sustainable levels. • South Africa is more susceptible to glob...

  • Africa Regional overview – Fiscal policy in focus - Updated Tue March 26, 2013

    • Fiscal policy is likely to be constrained in 2013 in a number of Sub-Saharan African sovereigns • In some countries, debt levels have increased to worrying levels • Reducing energy subsidies can alleviate the pressure on public finances ...

  • Kenya – Economy on a recovery path - Updated Tue March 26, 2013

    • Greater certainty post-election is required for markets to rally • Economic recovery is evident from the high-frequency data • Managing fiscal devolution post-election will be a key challenge ...

  • Africa Focus - Sound growth, fiscal challenges - Updated Tue March 19, 2013

    • Sub-Saharan Africa’s growth momentum continues to be robust. New resource discoveries, firm trends in credit growth underscoring domestic consumption, and increased infrastructure investment are all important drivers of the region’s growth trend. ...

  • Kenya – Election in focus - Updated Fri December 14, 2012

    Higher spending to drive improved growth outlook in 2013 • However, Kenya’s first elections since its political fallout in 2007-08 are a key risk • Active liquidity sterilisation by the CBK, even as it cuts policy rate further, will target KES sta...

  • Kenya – Growth surprises negatively - Updated Mon October 15, 2012

    • Q2-2012 growth rose only 3.3% y/y after growing 3.5% in Q1 • This is the weakest quarterly growth since Kenya’s post-election crisis in Q1-2008 • However, data is at odds with a number of higher-frequency indicators • We are optimistic about a ...

  • Diversity - Updated Thu October 11, 2012

    • Despite IMF downgrades to global growth forecasts, real GDP in Sub-Saharan Africa should average around 5% in 2012. Africa continues to present a diverse picture: initially investor concerns centred on the impact of the slowdown in Europe; they no...

  • Kenya – Testing budget assumptions - Updated Mon June 18, 2012

    • Kenya announces a 20% increase in spending, while aiming to achieve some fiscal consolidation in FY13 • With external risks still significant, domestic borrowing may exceed budget projections • In the very near term, local currency bond yields a...



Go to page
  

New User

Find out more about our research

Straight2Bank User

Please access our research via your Straight2Bank account

In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.