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  • Thailand – BoT makes another surprise rate cut - Updated Wed April 29, 2015

    Event – The Bank of Thailand (BoT) unexpectedly cut its policy rate again by 25bps to 1.50% at today’s meeting. We had expected it to keep the rate on hold. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 5-2 to cut the rate, aiming to boost the economy a...

  • 28-Apr – BoT likely to keep policy rate on hold - Updated Mon April 27, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ likely to keep the cash rate at 3.50% in April • Japan – We expect the BoJ to ease further on 30 April • Euro area – Consumer confidence likely dipped in April • Market focus • We believe the BoT will kee...

  • Take profit on short SGD-THB trade - Updated Wed April 22, 2015

    We recommend taking profit on the short SGD-THB via 6M forward outright trade • We expect USD-SGD to remain under slight pressure in the near-term • We maintain short-term Neutral FX weighting on the THB and Underweight on the SGD...

  • 30-Mar – Euro area is gaining momentum - Updated Sun March 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – IP likely dropped during the Lunar New Year holiday • Thailand – Rising tourism income may have boosted C/A surplus • US – Soft core PCE inflation to keep September hike on track • Market focus • The euro area ...

  • 20-Mar – Yellen’s stance and the SGD - Updated Thu March 19, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – IP growth likely slowed, jobless rate edged higher in February • Thailand – We expect February trade data to show a surplus • Singapore – Inflation likely fell for a fourth consecutive month • Market focus • Yellen...

  • Cross-currents and vulnerability in AXJ currencies - Updated Tue March 17, 2015

    Asian currency performance has varied significantly this year, in line with our ‘cross-currents’ call • USD-AXJ is likely to see further upside in Q2 on valuation, policy divergence and flow volatility • We raise higher our USD-CNY, USD-IDR, USD-M...

  • 09-Mar – BoT to stay put on policy rate - Updated Sun March 8, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China - Weak consumer confidence suggests further deflationary pressure • Philippines - Export growth seen rebounding modestly • China – Little support for band widening near-term • Market focus • We reiterate our call that...

  • Thailand – Significant beneficiary of lower oil prices - Updated Thu March 5, 2015

    Falling global oil prices should boost growth, lower inflation, and lead to a current account surplus • However, we cut our 2015 GDP growth forecast to 5.1% to reflect delayed execution of public investment • We now expect the BoT to stay on hold ...

  • Thailand – What Thai clients think - Updated Tue February 3, 2015

    Client sentiment in Bangkok is firmer in 2015 than 2014 • Europe is the biggest concern for 2015, while concerns about Thailand have eased • Thai clients maintain a bearish view on the Thai baht...

  • 30-Jan – Beware Greeks bearing tail-risks - Updated Thu January 29, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – We expect inflation to have fallen in January • South Korea – January exports boosted by more working days • Thailand – Inflation was likely subdued in January on falling oil prices • Market focus • Signs of inv...



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28-Apr – BoT likely to keep policy rate...

Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ likely to keep the cash rate at 3.50% in April • Japan – We expect the BoJ to ease further on 30 April • Euro area – Consumer confidence likely dipped in April • Market focus • We believe the BoT will keep policy rate on hold, despite likely weak...

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