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  • 15-May – Politics is supportive of AXJ bonds - Updated Wed May 14, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX to improve in April • Malaysia – We expect stronger Q1 GDP growth • US – Core CPI to may remain in check; Fed still in no rush to hike rates • Market focus • IDR bonds should remain supported and we maintai...

  • Offshore RMB – Survey suggests steady RGI growth - Updated Wed May 7, 2014

    RGI rose 9.4% m/m in March, the fastest since Sep-11, despite slowing China growth and FX uncertainty • Survey suggests CNH growth will remain solid; respondents want more cross-border Renminbi channels • Offshore companies prefer to settle trade...

  • 24-Apr – Moment of truth for the JPY trade - Updated Wed April 23, 2014

    • Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed in February • Singapore – IP likely remained robust in March • US – Still waiting for the corporate capex boom • Market focus • We expect Japan’s core CPI inflation to have rema...

  • 16-Apr – Food prices rise on weather and geopolitics - Updated Tue April 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX growth likely to have accelerated in March • Canada – Bank of Canada likely to keep policy rate unchanged • US – Spring recovery in housing may be gradual • Market focus • Weather risks and geopolitical con...

  • Singapore – MAS sees rising domestic inflation - Updated Mon April 14, 2014

    MAS keeps SGD NEER policy band slope, width and centre unchanged; policy unchanged since Apr-12 • MAS maintains focus on upside pressure on core inflation, reduces headline inflation forecast • SGD NEER should weaken 0.5% in the coming three mont...

  • 11-Apr – Indonesian rally to pause on election - Updated Thu April 10, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – MAS likely to maintain the status quo • China – Disappointing trade performance in March • US – 10Y UST yields touch bottom of range, important technical level • Market focus • Indonesian markets have sold off ...

  • Offshore Renminbi – RGI unaffected by FX volatility - Updated Mon April 7, 2014

    • RGI rose 6.8% y/y in February; strong momentum likely carried over to March, despite volatile CNY • Appointment of clearing banks in Europe will boost Renminbi usage; deposits in Taiwan keep growing • Higher CNY volatility will be the post band-...

  • Singapore – MAS to maintain the status quo - Updated Wed April 2, 2014

    We expect the MAS to maintain its current monetary policy stance in April • Current inflation levels are benign, although upside risks to core inflation remain • SGD NEER to strengthen ahead of MPS; enter SGD IRS 1Y/3Y/10Y butterfly, SGD IRS 3Y/1...

  • 01-Apr – UST volatility and EM catch-up - Updated Mon March 31, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We expect the PMI to remain above the 50 threshold • Europe – New offshore Renminbi centres set to get a boost • US – ISM data is likely to thaw gradually • Market focus • The sharp fall in UST implied volatili...

  • Receive SGD IRS 1Y/3Y/10Y butterfly - Updated Thu March 27, 2014

    SGD IRS has risen by 15-20bps over the past week on expectations of a steeper UST yield curve • We are Negative on SGS and SGD IRS given heavy long-duration SGS supply, a steeper UST curve • Our RV signals for swaps identify the 3Y SGD IRS as che...



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Trade idea

22-Apr – Clouds gather over the INR

Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP likely contracted again in March • Taiwan – IP data likely to have slowed due to base effects • South Korea – Q1 GDP likely to have been subdued • Market focus • India’s equity-market outperformance has stalled amid softer India export data • INR’s...

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