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  • 14-Mar – Asian fixed income outperforms CEMEA’s - Updated Thu March 13, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – February exports likely benefited from a low base • Philippines – Remittance growth likely remained buoyant in January • China – Growth moderated, but official data complicates the reading • Market focus • Indon...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Big Apple, bigger Renminbi - Updated Fri March 7, 2014

    • We add New York to our RGI, reflecting rising Renminbi payment flows and CNH FX turnover • New York enjoys time-zone advantage, massive trade with China, and rising investor interest in the RMB • We summarise the latest Renminbi developments in...

  • 28-Feb – Manageable inflation in Asia - Updated Thu February 27, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – PMI likely maintained a positive but weak signal • South Korea – Trade expected to have increased in February • China – Manufacturing sector likely saw a mild expansion in February • Market focus • Asia will se...

  • 25-Feb – Singapore investor roundtable: Optimistic bears - Updated Mon February 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – January industrial production likely softer • Hong Kong – Scaling back one-off fiscal concessions • South Africa – Fiscal consolidation in an election year • Market focus • We held a Singapore investor roundtabl...

  • 21-Feb – China FX reform ahead of G20 - Updated Thu February 20, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Inflation probably remained benign in January • Taiwan – IP growth likely dipped in January due to the seasonal effect • Germany – IFO expectations to gauge corporate sentiment • Market focus • Chinese authoriti...

  • 14-Feb – USD strength to be delayed but not reversed - Updated Thu February 13, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Consumption and investment likely boosted Q4-2013 GDP • Singapore – Exports may remain positive despite potential distortion • Thailand – Political unrest likely took its toll on Q4-2013 GDP • Market focus • The US...

  • Extending RV tools to non-deliverable swaps - Updated Thu January 23, 2014

    NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION IN INDIA • We extend our RV tools for swaps to include non-deliverable (ND) swaps • New RV signals: USD 1YF 2Y/9Y steepener • New NDIRS RV signals: TWD 1Y/5Y steepener • Of the 13 signals closed since we launched our RV mod...

  • 23-Jan – Trip notes from Japan - Updated Wed January 22, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Upside to IP expected to be muted • Vietnam – Jan inflation likely edged higher, but still controllable • US – Existing home sales were likely up slightly in December • Market focus • Japanese clients are positi...

  • 22-Jan – Korea likely to show steady Q4 GDP growth - Updated Tue January 21, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Latest IP data may show a rebound in economic activity • Singapore – Lower transport inflation likely slowed December inflation • Canada – Bank of Canada likely to leave policy rate unchanged • Market focus • Q4 G...

  • 16-Jan – Upside risks to Thailand’s inflation - Updated Wed January 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX likely improved further in December • Chile – Rates on hold, but an easing bias • United States – Inflation remains subdued; Fed rate hike still distant • Market focus • We see upside risks to Thailand’s in...

  • Updates on our relative-value signals for swaps - Updated Tue January 7, 2014

    We update the signals from our relative-value (RV) model for swaps based on a PCA framework • New RV signals: GBP 5Y/10Y steepener, AUD 7Y/15Y flattener and HKD 3Y/10Y steepener • Of the 12 signals closed since we launched our RV model, 10 would h...

  • 03-Jan – JPY fall extends into undervalued territory - Updated Thu January 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – PMI likely remained in expansionary territory • Taiwan – Inflation expected to inch up in 2014 • UK – Holiday period may have boosted services sector • Market focus • Policy divergence and widening rate spreads ...

  • 20-Dec – EM-21 reserve monitor update - Updated Thu December 19, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – USD-CNY fix rises following Fed taper • Singapore – Stable inflation and industrial production expected • Vietnam – 2013 GDP likely grew 5.3% y/y; inflation is well contained • Market focus • EM-21 reserves inc...

  • 16-Dec – Tempering the tapering tremors - Updated Sun December 15, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX likely expanded by 4.3% y/y in November • UK – CPI remains in sight of 2% target, but input costs are still rising • Germany – ZEW to gauge resilience of confidence amid new policies • Market focus • We ...

  • 12-Dec – China’s on/offshore liquidity contrast - Updated Wed December 11, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Retail sales likely contracted at a slower pace in October • US – Robust auto sales likely boosted holiday retail sales • Latam – A busy day across the region on Thursday • Market focus • Central Economic Work ...

  • 02-Dec – Shift to Neutral duration on IDR bonds - Updated Sun December 1, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain status quo, reiterate AUD is elevated • Singapore – November PMI readings likely to remain firm • US – ISM manufacturing survey likely moderated • Market focus • Shift to a Neutral duratio...

  • 25-Nov – Asian manufacturing continues to recover - Updated Sun November 24, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP growth was likely strong in October • Japan – BoJ minutes expected to show little change in policy stance • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed in September • Market focus • Four Asian countries will ...

  • 22-Nov – Client feedback: LA, London and Amsterdam - Updated Thu November 21, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We revise our SGS yield forecasts for 2014-16 • Singapore – Inflation likely rose slightly in October • Taiwan – Rising export orders may have boost industrial production • Market focus • Investors believe Fed...

  • Updates on our relative-value signals for swaps - Updated Fri November 15, 2013

    We update the signals from our relative-value model for swaps based on a PCA framework • New RV signals in G10: Pay USD 1Y/5Y/10Y, EUR 3MF 2Y/10Y flattener, CHF 5Y/10Y flattener • New RV signals in non-G10: Pay HKD 1Y/3Y/7Y...

  • 15-Nov – EM-21 central banks ‘self-insure’ - Updated Thu November 14, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Economy likely recovered from a technical recession • Singapore – NODX to contract at a slower pace • India – New inflows but also new INR volatility • Market focus • EM-21 reserves increased in September, Octo...



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21-Apr – CBRT – Monetary policy consternation

Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q1 inflation was likely lower at 1.3% y/y • Singapore – Inflation likely decreased further in March • UK – BoE minutes likely to show unanimous rate decision in April • Market focus • We think the CBRT will leave interest rates unchanged • Monetary...

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