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  • 02-Dec – Shift to Neutral duration on IDR bonds - Updated Sun December 1, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain status quo, reiterate AUD is elevated • Singapore – November PMI readings likely to remain firm • US – ISM manufacturing survey likely moderated • Market focus • Shift to a Neutral duratio...

  • 25-Nov – Asian manufacturing continues to recover - Updated Sun November 24, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP growth was likely strong in October • Japan – BoJ minutes expected to show little change in policy stance • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed in September • Market focus • Four Asian countries will ...

  • 22-Nov – Client feedback: LA, London and Amsterdam - Updated Thu November 21, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We revise our SGS yield forecasts for 2014-16 • Singapore – Inflation likely rose slightly in October • Taiwan – Rising export orders may have boost industrial production • Market focus • Investors believe Fed...

  • Updates on our relative-value signals for swaps - Updated Fri November 15, 2013

    We update the signals from our relative-value model for swaps based on a PCA framework • New RV signals in G10: Pay USD 1Y/5Y/10Y, EUR 3MF 2Y/10Y flattener, CHF 5Y/10Y flattener • New RV signals in non-G10: Pay HKD 1Y/3Y/7Y...

  • 15-Nov – EM-21 central banks ‘self-insure’ - Updated Thu November 14, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Thailand – Economy likely recovered from a technical recession • Singapore – NODX to contract at a slower pace • India – New inflows but also new INR volatility • Market focus • EM-21 reserves increased in September, Octo...

  • SGS – Take profit on 5Y SGD IRS receiver - Updated Wed November 6, 2013

    We close our 5Y SGD IRS receiver and the 5Y/10Y SGS flattener; near-term upside risks to yields remain • Stay Neutral duration on SGS, given the delayed start of QE tapering, manageable near-term supply • The risk of indigestion will be significan...

  • 05-Nov – UST market: Steady as she goes - Updated Mon November 4, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Real GDP y/y growth likely slowed in Q3 • Singapore – PMI likely edged up in October • Euro area – Muted services expansion according to flash indicator • Market focus • Last week’s Fed statement and strong manu...

  • 24-Oct – Korea Q3 GDP, a tipping point for confidence - Updated Wed October 23, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP likely bucked three months of contraction • UK – Economic activity stayed strong in Q3 • Germany – IFO set to edge up further • Market focus • Korea is likely to grow close to 1% q/q, continuing its recovery...

  • 21-Oct – And now the data deluge - Updated Sun October 20, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Q3 inflation was likely still benign at 1.8% y/y • Singapore – Inflation pulled lower by high base, FX appreciation • South Africa – Medium Term Budget in focus • Market focus • September payrolls will be releas...

  • 16-Oct – Behind the scenes in the euro area - Updated Tue October 15, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Exports likely registered a mild improvement • China – New liquidity measures support CGBs • UK – Inflation and sluggish wage growth continue to weigh on sales • Market focus • The euro-area recovery is on track...



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Trade idea

16-Feb – Singapore budget to address...

Top 3 data/events • South Korea – BoK likely to keep the policy rate on hold • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged • UK – CPI likely to continue its downward trend • Market focus • We expect Singapore’s 2015 budget to tackle economic and social challenges • Growth momentum...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.