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  • Singapore – MAS sees rising domestic inflation - Updated Mon April 14, 2014

    MAS keeps SGD NEER policy band slope, width and centre unchanged; policy unchanged since Apr-12 • MAS maintains focus on upside pressure on core inflation, reduces headline inflation forecast • SGD NEER should weaken 0.5% in the coming three mont...

  • 11-Apr – Indonesian rally to pause on election - Updated Thu April 10, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – MAS likely to maintain the status quo • China – Disappointing trade performance in March • US – 10Y UST yields touch bottom of range, important technical level • Market focus • Indonesian markets have sold off ...

  • Offshore Renminbi – RGI unaffected by FX volatility - Updated Mon April 7, 2014

    • RGI rose 6.8% y/y in February; strong momentum likely carried over to March, despite volatile CNY • Appointment of clearing banks in Europe will boost Renminbi usage; deposits in Taiwan keep growing • Higher CNY volatility will be the post band-...

  • Singapore – MAS to maintain the status quo - Updated Wed April 2, 2014

    We expect the MAS to maintain its current monetary policy stance in April • Current inflation levels are benign, although upside risks to core inflation remain • SGD NEER to strengthen ahead of MPS; enter SGD IRS 1Y/3Y/10Y butterfly, SGD IRS 3Y/1...

  • 01-Apr – UST volatility and EM catch-up - Updated Mon March 31, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We expect the PMI to remain above the 50 threshold • Europe – New offshore Renminbi centres set to get a boost • US – ISM data is likely to thaw gradually • Market focus • The sharp fall in UST implied volatili...

  • Receive SGD IRS 1Y/3Y/10Y butterfly - Updated Thu March 27, 2014

    SGD IRS has risen by 15-20bps over the past week on expectations of a steeper UST yield curve • We are Negative on SGS and SGD IRS given heavy long-duration SGS supply, a steeper UST curve • Our RV signals for swaps identify the 3Y SGD IRS as che...

  • 25-Mar – The trans-Tasman twist - Updated Mon March 24, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP growth was likely strong in February • Euro area – US seeking a united front with EU against Russia • US – Corporate investment is still not in the data • Market focus • The NZ economy has been solid in recen...

  • 21-Mar – Divergence in the dollar bloc - Updated Thu March 20, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Inflation likely remained modest in February • Taiwan – Industrial production to show recovery gaining momentum • Euro area – Geopolitical tensions may bruise PMIs • Market focus • NZD outperforms due to a str...

  • 14-Mar – Asian fixed income outperforms CEMEA’s - Updated Thu March 13, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – February exports likely benefited from a low base • Philippines – Remittance growth likely remained buoyant in January • China – Growth moderated, but official data complicates the reading • Market focus • Indon...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Big Apple, bigger Renminbi - Updated Fri March 7, 2014

    • We add New York to our RGI, reflecting rising Renminbi payment flows and CNH FX turnover • New York enjoys time-zone advantage, massive trade with China, and rising investor interest in the RMB • We summarise the latest Renminbi developments in...

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25-May – Greece begs to differ

Top 3 data/events • Singapore - Manufacturing sector likely remained lacklustre in April • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed on stronger export growth • US – April a temporary hiatus in an otherwise weak durables trend • Market focus • This week will be key if Greece is to...

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