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  • 22-Jan – Korea likely to show steady Q4 GDP growth - Updated Tue January 21, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Latest IP data may show a rebound in economic activity • Singapore – Lower transport inflation likely slowed December inflation • Canada – Bank of Canada likely to leave policy rate unchanged • Market focus • Q4 G...

  • 16-Jan – Upside risks to Thailand’s inflation - Updated Wed January 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX likely improved further in December • Chile – Rates on hold, but an easing bias • United States – Inflation remains subdued; Fed rate hike still distant • Market focus • We see upside risks to Thailand’s in...

  • Updates on our relative-value signals for swaps - Updated Tue January 7, 2014

    We update the signals from our relative-value (RV) model for swaps based on a PCA framework • New RV signals: GBP 5Y/10Y steepener, AUD 7Y/15Y flattener and HKD 3Y/10Y steepener • Of the 12 signals closed since we launched our RV model, 10 would h...

  • 03-Jan – JPY fall extends into undervalued territory - Updated Thu January 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – PMI likely remained in expansionary territory • Taiwan – Inflation expected to inch up in 2014 • UK – Holiday period may have boosted services sector • Market focus • Policy divergence and widening rate spreads ...

  • 20-Dec – EM-21 reserve monitor update - Updated Thu December 19, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – USD-CNY fix rises following Fed taper • Singapore – Stable inflation and industrial production expected • Vietnam – 2013 GDP likely grew 5.3% y/y; inflation is well contained • Market focus • EM-21 reserves inc...

  • 16-Dec – Tempering the tapering tremors - Updated Sun December 15, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – NODX likely expanded by 4.3% y/y in November • UK – CPI remains in sight of 2% target, but input costs are still rising • Germany – ZEW to gauge resilience of confidence amid new policies • Market focus • We ...

  • 12-Dec – China’s on/offshore liquidity contrast - Updated Wed December 11, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – Retail sales likely contracted at a slower pace in October • US – Robust auto sales likely boosted holiday retail sales • Latam – A busy day across the region on Thursday • Market focus • Central Economic Work ...

  • 02-Dec – Shift to Neutral duration on IDR bonds - Updated Sun December 1, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain status quo, reiterate AUD is elevated • Singapore – November PMI readings likely to remain firm • US – ISM manufacturing survey likely moderated • Market focus • Shift to a Neutral duratio...

  • 25-Nov – Asian manufacturing continues to recover - Updated Sun November 24, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – IP growth was likely strong in October • Japan – BoJ minutes expected to show little change in policy stance • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed in September • Market focus • Four Asian countries will ...

  • 22-Nov – Client feedback: LA, London and Amsterdam - Updated Thu November 21, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We revise our SGS yield forecasts for 2014-16 • Singapore – Inflation likely rose slightly in October • Taiwan – Rising export orders may have boost industrial production • Market focus • Investors believe Fed...



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25-Mar – Reading SARB signals

Top 3 data/events • Hong Kong – February export data likely distorted by Lunar New Year • Singapore – We expect IP to have contracted in January-February • Euro area – Pick-up in credit cycle likely continued in February • Market focus • We expect the SARB to leave the repo rate...

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