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  • 27-May – BoC: A believer in better times ahead - Updated Tue May 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – GDP growth likely remained healthy in Q1 • Hong Kong – Still too early to confirm an export recovery • Euro area – Economic sentiment likely deteriorated • Market focus • At its 27 May meeting, we see the BoC ...

  • 25-May – Greece begs to differ - Updated Sun May 24, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore - Manufacturing sector likely remained lacklustre in April • Philippines – Trade deficit likely narrowed on stronger export growth • US – April a temporary hiatus in an otherwise weak durables trend • Market focus ...

  • 13-May – Malaysia’s growth likely remained resilient - Updated Tue May 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – We expect the April trade deficit to have narrowed • Philippines – We expect no change in BSP’s policy rate decision • US – April consumer spending may show continued torpor • Market focus • We expect GDP growth to ...

  • Sell SGD-PHP via 3M NDFs - Updated Tue May 12, 2015

    We expect the SGD-PHP cross to resume its weakening trend given strong macro divergence • We recommend selling SGD-PHP 3M NDFs; spot target: 32.00, spot stop-loss: 34.20 • We raise our short-term FX weighting on the PHP to Overweight; we remain Un...

  • 11-May – BoE to stay on course, IR in focus - Updated Sun May 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – April inflation likely dipped below 5%; March IIP was likely tepid • Philippines – Export growth likely fell for a fourth consecutive month • Asian central banks – Focus is again on trade-weighted exchange rate • M...

  • 04-May – Not too early or late, just right for RBA - Updated Sun May 3, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Real GDP growth likely remained weak in Q1-2015 • Philippines – Inflation may moderate further on lower food inflation • US – Services to do most of heavy lifting in Q2 • Market focus • RBA will likely ease agai...

  • 27-Apr – Weak US Q1 growth may stump the Fed - Updated Sun April 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade balance likely improved on sluggish import growth • Japan – Retail sales probably weakened y/y in March on a high base • UK – Consumption to drive growth, investment under pressure • Market focus • We t...

  • 15-Apr – BoC likely to wait as jury is still out - Updated Tue April 14, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Sewol ferry disaster, one year on • Australia – March unemployment rate was likely unchanged at 6.3% • Philippines – Remittance growth likely rebounded; challenges ahead • Market focus • The Bank of Canada may...

  • 07-Apr – BoJ is likely to ease further in April - Updated Mon April 6, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – The SIGMA signal is bearish; we remain Positive on IGBs • Taiwan – Exports likely grew in March; inflation may have declined • Philippines – Export growth likely rebounded modestly in February • Market focus • Rece...

  • 02-Apr – India – A pause before easing - Updated Wed April 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain cash rate at 2.25% in a close call • Malaysia – We expect lacklustre export growth for February • Philippines – Inflation likely eased in March • Market focus • RBI likely to keep repo rat...



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27-May – BoC: A believer in better times...

Top 3 data/events • Philippines – GDP growth likely remained healthy in Q1 • Hong Kong – Still too early to confirm an export recovery • Euro area – Economic sentiment likely deteriorated • Market focus • At its 27 May meeting, we see the BoC maintaining its overnight lending rate at...

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