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  • 23-Feb – Yellen to sound less dovish than minutes - Updated Sun February 22, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines − Trade deficit expected due to poor export growth • Vietnam - Key February data likely distorted by Tet holiday • Turkey – We expect the CBRT to cut its benchmark rate 50bps • Market focus • We expect (relative...

  • 13-Feb – Growth, inflation and the BoJ - Updated Thu February 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – SLF expansion to ease seasonal liquidity volatility • India – January trade deficit seen narrowing further on low oil imports • Philippines – Remittances to be buoyed by improving US labour market • Market focus • J...

  • 10-Feb – BSP is in no rush to change policy stance - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect Q4 GDP to have slowed versus previous quarters • Singapore – Take profit on pay 2Y IRS vs 2Y SGS • Australia – We expect muted job creation for January • Market focus • We expect the BSP to keep its pol...

  • 09-Feb – Euro area is turning the corner - Updated Sun February 8, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – Deflationary pressure justifies a looser policy stance • Philippines – Export growth likely remained robust in December • Malaysia – Industrial production likely slowed further in December 2014 • Market focus • Th...

  • 04-Feb – More to come from the Tasman twins - Updated Tue February 3, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – A new base year for GDP • Philippines – Inflation likely eased further in January • UK – Bank of England will likely leave the Bank Rate unchanged • Market focus • RBA turns dovish from neutral, pointing to like...

  • 28-Jan – ‘Patient’ Fed watches the data - Updated Tue January 27, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • New Zealand – RBNZ expected to keep cash rate unchanged at 3.50% • Philippines – Q4 GDP growth rebound expected after disappointing Q3 • South Africa – MPC to clarify tightening intent • Market focus • We expect little chan...

  • 26-Jan – ECB reinforces AXJ cross-currents - Updated Sun January 25, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade deficit to widen in November • Taiwan – Monitoring index to show economy on steady growth path • Vietnam – January data likely to show an acceleration ahead of Tet • Market focus • PBoC signals defensive...

  • 13-Jan – The EU Court and QE implications - Updated Mon January 12, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Remittance growth was likely strong in November • Euro area – Industrial production likely registered modest growth • US – December retail sales data: Beware of the price-effect • Market focus • The ECJ’s in...

  • 08-Jan – ASEAN reforms as oil prices fall - Updated Wed January 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – External and retail trade likely contracted in November • Philippines – We expect good, but not great, export growth • Germany – Industrial production likely increased at a steady rate • Market focus • Indonesia...

  • 12-Dec – Abe looks set to reaffirm his authority - Updated Thu December 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – Tankan to show improving sentiment for large manufacturers • Philippines – Remittance growth expected to pick up for rest of 2014 • Singapore – Retail sales ex-autos were likely lacklustre • Market focus • We expect...



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Trade idea

23-Feb – Yellen to sound less dovish than...

Top 3 data/events • Philippines − Trade deficit expected due to poor export growth • Vietnam - Key February data likely distorted by Tet holiday • Turkey – We expect the CBRT to cut its benchmark rate 50bps • Market focus • We expect (relatively) hawkish testimony from Fed Chair Yellen...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.