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  • 10-Dec – Our currency, your problem - Updated Tue December 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Korea – BoK is expected to keep the base rate on hold • Indonesia – We expect the BI rate to be unchanged in December • The Philippines – BSP set to keep policy rates on hold • Market focus • USD strength in H1-2015; sign...

  • 10-Sep – USD-JPY is back in play - Updated Tue September 9, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • China – Inflation likely moderated in August • Philippines – BSP may tighten rates in September – a close call • Indonesia – BI likely to keep rates on hold in September • Market focus • USD-JPY is grinding higher on rate s...

  • 04-Sep – A hedge for ECB disappointment - Updated Wed September 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – July exports likely remained strong • Philippines – Inflationary pressures likely persisted in August • Taiwan – Local producers may pass on rising costs to consumers • Market focus • Expectations and short EUR p...

  • 04-Feb – EM-21: AUD, CAD oversold on reserve trend - Updated Mon February 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Inflation likely to remain within the BSP’s target this year • UK – Services PMI trends down but activity remains expansionary • US – Through ADP glasses, we expect a healthy January reading Market focus • EM-...

  • Local Markets Compendium 2014 - Updated Mon October 7, 2013

    To paraphrase Mark Twain, the reports of the death of EM bond markets have been greatly exaggerated. Increased global allocations to local EM bond markets have been not cyclical but primarily structural in nature, reflecting these markets’ rising ec...

  • 03-Oct – Reiterating a bullish Asian FX call for Q4 - Updated Wed October 2, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Short-term inflationary pressures in September • Japan – BoJ likely to upgrade its assessment of the economy • Malaysia – Gradual improvement in export performance expected • Market focus • Higher-beta EM...

  • 05-Aug – The RBA: 225 not out - Updated Sun August 4, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Higher food, energy prices to support inflation print • India – SIGMA provides a bearish signal for duration in August • US – Focus turns to ISM services, which probably stayed healthy • Market focus • RBA is...

  • 24-Jul – Positioning versus fundamentals - Updated Tue July 23, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – BSP likely to keep policy and SDA rates on hold • South Korea – Q2 GDP growth likely picked up in y/y terms • US – We expand our yield forecasts to the 5Y sector • Market focus • Positioning, seasonals and...

  • 12-Jun – Carried out on rising volatility - Updated Tue June 11, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – BoK will likely keep its policy rate on hold • Philippines – Unchanged policy rate expected; SDA rate cut likely • United States – May’s retail sales data likely remained soft • Market focus • Rising G3 rate ...

  • 10-Jun – Trouble with the (JGB) curve - Updated Sun June 9, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Export growth likely saw a modest improvement in April • Malaysia – Domestic demand expected to sustain industrial activity • UK – Signs of recovery in the industrial sector • Market focus • The BoJ is likely ...

  • Close long PHP vs. G3 - Updated Mon April 29, 2013

    Recent weakness in Philippine data and potential further SDA adjustments to weigh on PHP near-term • Rich valuations in the PHP and local asset markets to weigh on PHP in Q2 • We look to re-buy PHP in H2 when PHP appreciation should resume on stro...

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