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  • 17-Feb – The Asian central bank road-show - Updated Mon February 16, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to stay put at the February meeting • Malaysia – Inflation likely to remain benign for now • Ghana – MPC expected to leave interest rates unchanged • Market focus • Asian central banks remain constructive...

  • 10-Feb – BSP is in no rush to change policy stance - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect Q4 GDP to have slowed versus previous quarters • Singapore – Take profit on pay 2Y IRS vs 2Y SGS • Australia – We expect muted job creation for January • Market focus • We expect the BSP to keep its pol...

  • Malaysia – HQLA move supports receiving rates - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    BNM is relaxing HQLA restrictions to loosen banking liquidity • The change provides leeway to banks with relatively small amounts of HQLAs to meet LCR requirements • Liquidity easing and global disinflationary pressure support our receive 5Y MYR I...

  • 09-Feb – Euro area is turning the corner - Updated Sun February 8, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – Deflationary pressure justifies a looser policy stance • Philippines – Export growth likely remained robust in December • Malaysia – Industrial production likely slowed further in December 2014 • Market focus • Th...

  • 06-Feb – Malaysia shows resilience - Updated Thu February 5, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – New GDP series likely to show slower economic activity in FY15 • Japan – Current account balance was likely positive in December 2014 • Taiwan – Trade surplus was likely boosted by a lower (oil) import bill • Marke...

  • 05-Feb – Oil prices make US payroll call slippery - Updated Wed February 4, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA’s Statement on Monetary Policy likely to be bearish • Malaysia – Weaker MYR likely supported the trade balance • China – January trade data to benefit from holiday distortion • Market focus • We predict payr...

  • 27-Jan – BoT to keep rates on hold - Updated Mon January 26, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep policy rates unchanged • Australia – Q4-2014 inflation was likely lower at 1.8% y/y • US – Fed in ‘hibernation’; statement should repeat ‘patience’ • Market focus • We reiterate our call tha...

  • Malaysia – Government widens fiscal deficit target - Updated Tue January 20, 2015

    • Malaysia increases its 2015 fiscal deficit target to 3.2% of GDP, from the 3% set in October 2014 • We think the increase is a compromise between the government’s fiscal consolidation stance and reduced oil revenue projections • Receive MYR 5Y...

  • 19-Jan – A cold December in China - Updated Sun January 18, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Growth concerns put downward pressure on rates • Nigeria – Monetary policy rate expected to stay on hold • Turkey – CBRT will most likely keep rates unchanged • Market focus • Growth momentum remains weak in Chin...

  • Malaysia – Extend target of receiving MYR 5Y IRS - Updated Fri January 16, 2015

    • The low oil price and global disinflationary pressures raise growth concerns • Foreign holdings remain constructive due to structural support • We revise our target/stop-loss – current: 3.88%, entry: 4.02%, new target: 3.70%, new stop-loss: 4....



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17-Feb – The Asian central bank road-show

Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ likely to stay put at the February meeting • Malaysia – Inflation likely to remain benign for now • Ghana – MPC expected to leave interest rates unchanged • Market focus • Asian central banks remain constructive on USD but negative on the rest of...

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