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  • 06-Nov – BoJ easing reinforces relative value in AXJ - Updated Wed November 5, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Exports may have remained lacklustre versus Q2 • Korea – Taking profit on the 3Y KTB and 3Y KRW IRS • Germany – IP and exports likely rebounded in September • Market focus • BoJ easing reinforces policy divergen...

  • 05-Nov – Aussie labour-market uncertainty persists - Updated Tue November 4, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – BoJ minutes in focus after its surprise easing • Malaysia – We expect BNM to keep rates unchanged • Taiwan – Tech exports likely rose on year-end holiday sales demand • Market focus • The Australian Bureau of Stat...

  • SC FIRST – Structural flows favour Asia - Updated Tue October 28, 2014

    Direction signal stays negative on weak demand for EM debt; EM FX weakness puts pressure on EM bonds • Structural investors continue to favour Asia bonds; hard data supports Korea and Indonesia • Flow rotation continues from Russia, Turkey and So...

  • 17-Oct – ‘Pain trades’ in G10 crosses - Updated Thu October 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Inflation likely remained stable in September • Singapore – Revising the stop-loss on the 5Y UST/SGS spread widener • Canada – Core inflation likely stayed high on seasonality • Market focus • We believe short-...

  • Malaysia – Meeting expectations - Updated Fri October 10, 2014

    Government delivers another budget underlining its fiscal consolidation goals • The budget is a mix of further fiscal consolidation aims, enhancing subsidy efficiency and development • We maintain our Neutral FX weighting on the MYR • Fiscal cons...

  • 03-Oct – NFPs: Another step towards a 2015 rate hike - Updated Thu October 2, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – The SIGMA signal is bullish for duration in October • Malaysia – 2015 Budget is likely to signal continued fiscal consolidation • Thailand – Additional fiscal measures to jump-start the economy • Market focus • Augu...

  • Searching for value in EM Asia fixed income markets - Updated Fri September 19, 2014

    We see the recent pull-back as an opportunity to selectively buy into EM; we expect Asia to outperform • Within high-yield Asia, we favour IDR over INR bond markets on improving fundamentals and asset rotation • Within low-yield Asia, we favour TH...

  • 17-Sep – Expectations for FOMC: Too far too fast? - Updated Tue September 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect another 25bps hike • Euro area – We expect September TLTRO take-up of EUR 125-150bn • Ghana – BoG likely to pause tightening cycle at September MPC • Market focus • FOMC meeting: A moderately more hawki...

  • 16-Sep – UK faces an eventful week - Updated Mon September 15, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Inflation likely remained stable in August • Singapore – NODX growth was likely helped by favourable base effect • Thailand – BoT likely to keep policy rate on hold for the rest of the year • Market focus • The ...

  • 04-Sep – A hedge for ECB disappointment - Updated Wed September 3, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – July exports likely remained strong • Philippines – Inflationary pressures likely persisted in August • Taiwan – Local producers may pass on rising costs to consumers • Market focus • Expectations and short EUR p...



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Trade idea

17-Apr – USD-CNY forecast revisions

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – March export orders likely supported by rising tech demand • Malaysia – Inflation to increase from April • US – March CPI inflation data likely to support the Fed’s ‘no rush’ view • Market focus • We raise CNY forecasts vs the USD and lift the short-term FX...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.