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  • 12-Feb – US: Yellen sings from Bernanke’s songbook - Updated Tue February 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose to a 4.5-year high of 5.9% • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in February • South Korea – The policy rate is likely to be kept on hold at 2.5% • Market focus • There...

  • 31-Jan – AXJ FX to weaken on China slowdown fears - Updated Thu January 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Inflation likely to have accelerated m/m in January • Thailand – Upside risks to inflation • US – January’s Chicago PMI: A taste of things to come in Q1 • Market focus • We forecast China January PMI manufacturi...

  • 05-Nov – UST market: Steady as she goes - Updated Mon November 4, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Real GDP y/y growth likely slowed in Q3 • Singapore – PMI likely edged up in October • Euro area – Muted services expansion according to flash indicator • Market focus • Last week’s Fed statement and strong manu...

  • 31-Oct – AXJ currencies to strengthen further - Updated Wed October 30, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing PMI likely saw a marginal improvement • Indonesia – Headline inflation likely remained low m/m in October • US – A neutral FOMC awaits better data before pulling the trigger • Market focus • AXJ curren...

  • 13-Jun – Signals to watch for a turnaround in EM - Updated Wed June 12, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • India – May WPI likely to be marginally lower • Indonesia – BI measures to provide short-term market relief • United States – A still-elevated gap between confidence and hard data • Market focus • EM markets have sold off ...

  • 03-May – NFP in sight as Fed keeps all options open - Updated Thu May 2, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Improving retail sales • Indonesia – Q1 real GDP expected at 6.2% y/y • Taiwan – Core inflation likely to outpace the headline figure • Market focus • NFP data scrutinised as the Fed indicates it stands ready to...

  • 09 Apr – Korean markets are in the spotlight - Updated Mon April 8, 2013

    Top 3 data/ events • China – March likely to have seen another sizeable trade surplus • Indonesia – DMO targets IDR 60tn of treasury issuance in Q2 • US – FOMC minutes to take a back seat given recent data • Market focus • Tensions on the Korea...

  • 11-Jan-13 – Subsidy reforms, inflation and the RBI - Updated Thu January 10, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Short-term FX weighting lowered to Underweight • Ghana – Stunning 3Y bond auction results, 5Y offers better value • Euro area – ECB sees ‘positive contagion’ as markets do the job • Market focus • December WPI...

  • 09-Jan-13 – BoE and ECB keep status quo, for now - Updated Tue January 8, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Bank Indonesia to keep the BI rate unchanged • Malaysia – Domestic demand likely supported industrial production • Philippines – Asian demand expected to have lifted export growth • Market focus • The ECB is lik...

  • 07-Jan-13 – Status quo for Asian central banks - Updated Sun January 6, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Euro area – Eurostat business surveys to improve, but from low level • Sri Lanka – CBSL expected to maintain policy rates • Australia – Trade likely remained in deficit for an eleventh straight month • Market focus • Centra...

  • 03-Oct-12 – On the road in Europe - Updated Tue October 2, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Retail sales are likely to have remained weak • Asian rates – Benign supply outlook for Indonesia and the Philippines • Euro area – ECB to ‘wait-and-see’ on both rates and OMT bond-buying • Market focus • UK rate...

  • 03-Aug-12 – ECB helps those who help themselves - Updated Thu August 2, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Asian rates – We remain bullish on Asian bonds • Indonesia – An anchor of stability • Taiwan – Food price inflation likely surged to near a four-year high • Market focus • ECB announces bond buying plan to restore confidenc...

  • 18-Jun-12 – Greece votes for the euro - Updated Sun June 17, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA minutes to leave door open for dovishness • Indonesia – MoF to auction IDR 5trn of treasuries on 19 June • Euro area – All eyes on Germany at the G20 meeting • Market focus • Greece’s pro-bailout New Democr...

  • 31-May-12 – Spain’s banks steal the Greek show - Updated Wed May 30, 2012

    Top 3 data/events • China – PMI likely to slide, confirming the slowdown in manufacturing • Indonesia – Inflation to remain at moderate levels • South Korea – Benign inflation and sluggish trade flows to prevail Market focus • Spain illustrates...



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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.