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  • 04-May – Not too early or late, just right for RBA - Updated Sun May 3, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Real GDP growth likely remained weak in Q1-2015 • Philippines – Inflation may moderate further on lower food inflation • US – Services to do most of heavy lifting in Q2 • Market focus • RBA will likely ease agai...

  • 31-Oct – Weaker MXN to keep Banxico on hold - Updated Thu October 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – BI introduces regulation on hedging foreign-currency debt • China – No improvement in the manufacturing sector expected • US – Low wage growth and soft inflation to keep the Fed patient • Market focus • We expe...

  • 13-Aug – BoK: Jumping on the bandwagon - Updated Tue August 12, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • India – July WPI likely to move lower • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in August • US – Headline retail sales likely soft on lower car sales and gas prices • Market focus • The BoK will likely cut the base...

  • 31-Jul – Fed policy: Boiling the frog - Updated Wed July 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • South Korea – Exports likely picked up, CPI inflation stayed benign • China – We expect a higher official PMI reading for July • Indonesia – Inflation likely accelerated on a m/m basis in July • Market focus • The FOMC del...

  • 01-May – TRYing to find value in carry and vol - Updated Wed April 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Stable inflation, a positive trade surplus expected • Japan – March jobless rate likely edged higher on new graduates • US – April payrolls to be more of the same: no break-out • Market focus • FX volatility re...

  • 12-Feb – US: Yellen sings from Bernanke’s songbook - Updated Tue February 11, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose to a 4.5-year high of 5.9% • Indonesia – We expect BI to keep rates unchanged in February • South Korea – The policy rate is likely to be kept on hold at 2.5% • Market focus • There...

  • 31-Jan – AXJ FX to weaken on China slowdown fears - Updated Thu January 30, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Inflation likely to have accelerated m/m in January • Thailand – Upside risks to inflation • US – January’s Chicago PMI: A taste of things to come in Q1 • Market focus • We forecast China January PMI manufacturi...

  • 05-Nov – UST market: Steady as she goes - Updated Mon November 4, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Real GDP y/y growth likely slowed in Q3 • Singapore – PMI likely edged up in October • Euro area – Muted services expansion according to flash indicator • Market focus • Last week’s Fed statement and strong manu...

  • 31-Oct – AXJ currencies to strengthen further - Updated Wed October 30, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • China – Manufacturing PMI likely saw a marginal improvement • Indonesia – Headline inflation likely remained low m/m in October • US – A neutral FOMC awaits better data before pulling the trigger • Market focus • AXJ curren...

  • 13-Jun – Signals to watch for a turnaround in EM - Updated Wed June 12, 2013

    Top 3 data/events • India – May WPI likely to be marginally lower • Indonesia – BI measures to provide short-term market relief • United States – A still-elevated gap between confidence and hard data • Market focus • EM markets have sold off ...



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Trade idea

04-May – Not too early or late, just...

Top 3 data/events • Indonesia – Real GDP growth likely remained weak in Q1-2015 • Philippines – Inflation may moderate further on lower food inflation • US – Services to do most of heavy lifting in Q2 • Market focus • RBA will likely ease again to support growth, given the absence of...

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