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  • US prospective plantings – More than meets the eye - Updated Fri April 4, 2014

    US Department of Agriculture releases its Prospective Plantings and quarterly Grain Stocks reports • Sub-optimal weather and geopolitical risks could keep grain prices elevated, despite lower use • Longer-dated soybean futures are undervalued on a...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon March 31, 2014

    • ETF: Fund flows were relatively slow; natural gas funds saw bearish flows • CFTC: Speculative money flows peaked, indicating future downside pressure on energy and metals ...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon March 17, 2014

    • ETF: Fund flows were positive across the entire complex, particularly for gold • CFTC: Aggregate net spec increased again, but cumulative money flow appeared overextended...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon March 3, 2014

    • ETF: Flows were positive across most of the complex; geopolitical drivers provided tailwinds for gold • CFTC: Managed-money flows trended towards their highest in two years ...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon February 24, 2014

    • ETF: Sentiment towards the broad index turns more bullish; gold sees outflows on price resistance • CFTC: Large speculators turn more bullish towards commodities on high cash flow ...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon February 10, 2014

    • ETF: Flows into commodities were mostly positive, except for base metals • CFTC: Aggregate net spec rose for a fourth straight week; dry weather drove agricultural net spec higher...

  • Agriculture – Wheat market stumbles into 2014 - Updated Tue January 21, 2014

    • Agricultural commodity markets have been pressured lower by ample supply and a stronger USD • We lower our price forecasts for wheat to reflect current market conditions and sluggish feed demand • Despite a weak start to the year, we expect fund...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Tue January 21, 2014

    • ETF: Overall flows were bearish due to outflows from energy and broad-index funds • CFTC: Energy speculators turned more bearish; positions were overextended in copper, gold, and wheat...

  • Soybeans – Bullish signals from China’s hog demand - Updated Tue September 17, 2013

    • The market has downgraded its estimates of the US soybean crop in the 2013/14 season • We expect greater attention to global crop use as hog production increases in China and the US • We are bullish on longer-dated soybean futures as global inve...

  • Receding weather risks stifle grain prices - Updated Mon August 5, 2013

    • The US Corn Belt enjoyed largely favourable weather in July; this is critical for crop development • USDA data shows a strong recovery in US crop prospects after a difficult start to the planting season • We lower our grain price forecasts on ac...



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