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  • US prospective plantings – More than meets the eye - Updated Fri April 4, 2014

    US Department of Agriculture releases its Prospective Plantings and quarterly Grain Stocks reports • Sub-optimal weather and geopolitical risks could keep grain prices elevated, despite lower use • Longer-dated soybean futures are undervalued on a...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon March 31, 2014

    • ETF: Fund flows were relatively slow; natural gas funds saw bearish flows • CFTC: Speculative money flows peaked, indicating future downside pressure on energy and metals ...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon March 17, 2014

    • ETF: Fund flows were positive across the entire complex, particularly for gold • CFTC: Aggregate net spec increased again, but cumulative money flow appeared overextended...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon March 3, 2014

    • ETF: Flows were positive across most of the complex; geopolitical drivers provided tailwinds for gold • CFTC: Managed-money flows trended towards their highest in two years ...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon February 10, 2014

    • ETF: Flows into commodities were mostly positive, except for base metals • CFTC: Aggregate net spec rose for a fourth straight week; dry weather drove agricultural net spec higher...

  • Receding weather risks stifle grain prices - Updated Mon August 5, 2013

    • The US Corn Belt enjoyed largely favourable weather in July; this is critical for crop development • USDA data shows a strong recovery in US crop prospects after a difficult start to the planting season • We lower our grain price forecasts on ac...

  • Agriculture – The USDA’s double-edged sword - Updated Mon July 1, 2013

    • The USDA releases a bearish 2013 acreage report and a bullish old-crop stocks report • We believe the risks to corn and soybean yields are to the downside which will support prices in Q4 • We maintain our bullish position versus the corn and soy...

  • Corn – Upside price risks remain - Updated Thu April 18, 2013

    Corn prices have declined on bearish market news • Corn use will increase in the long term as feed demand grows • Market needs to price in weather risk as US planting starts...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon March 18, 2013

    • ETF: Gold outflows continue to slow; we see this as an early sign that a trough is forming • CFTC: Speculative positions rise 26% w/w, mostly due to the outlook for agricultural commodities...

  • Commodity investor flows - Updated Mon December 31, 2012

    • ETF: Oil ETFs saw a large outflow of USD 180mn; commodity ETF AUM edged higher to USD 185.5bn • CFTC: Speculative positions were held in commodity futures, and options fell 14.5%...



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