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  • 17-Mar – FOMC: Jettisoning the thresholds - Updated Sun March 16, 2014

    Top 3 data/events • Metals – Caught between China and Ukraine • Turkey – CBRT expected to leave its policy rate on hold at 10% • Germany – Investor confidence to moderate further in March • Market focus • Fed will likely taper QE by USD 10bn,...

  • Metals – Darkness on the edge of town - Updated Wed February 5, 2014

    We are revising our price forecasts across the six LME base metals and the four main precious metals • We expect divergent performance, with some metals rising on tightening balances and others staying flat • Our preferred positive exposures are t...

  • LME Week 2013 - Updated Fri October 4, 2013

    • China – We revise up our forecast for copper demand growth for this year to 9%, after a strong summer • Mine costs – We see a dramatic rise in operating costs for copper, with Chile losing competitiveness • LME warehousing – We expect continued ...

  • Metals – More QE from Fed, but boost is short-lived - Updated Tue September 18, 2012

    • Aluminium – Prices have rallied too far and look vulnerable • Copper – Weak demand growth skews short-term risks to downside • Silver – Benefiting from renewed fear about inflation and has outperformed • Gold – We maintain our bullish view and ...

  • Metals – Markets break higher, as ECB delivers - Updated Fri September 7, 2012

    • Aluminium – Producers are cutting, but not that aggressively • Copper – Supply growth in Chile picks up, but a key power project is delayed • Silver – Leads the metal markets higher, as central banks step up policy action • Gold – Price breaks ...

  • Metals – Base metals lead the way higher - Updated Wed August 8, 2012

    • Aluminium – Producers are under pressure to cut and physical premia remain at high levels • Copper – Chile is showing modest supply growth, but Olympic Dam mine expansion is delayed • Nickel – The price has underperformed, but should be close to...

  • Metals – Safe havens outperform as Spain struggles - Updated Tue July 24, 2012

    • Aluminium – Physical premia skyrocket as bottlenecks limit LME withdrawals • Copper – China’s apparent consumption was strong in June, although this needs careful interpretation • Gold – Bernanke disappointed on QE; focus is now on US GDP data a...

  • Metals – Precious metals bounce on short-covering - Updated Tue May 22, 2012

    • Gold – US speculators are still selling; World Gold Council highlights a demand drop in Q1 • Platinum group metals – Sentiment is bearish and investors are switching into palladium • Base metals – Tightness in copper is easing; positive news flo...

  • Metals – A slow grind lower, but no collapse - Updated Tue May 15, 2012

    • Gold/silver – Gold investors are selling, but downside for US speculators now looks limited • Platinum group metals – Johnson Matthey flags up an improving fundamental picture • Base metals – Copper is trending down, but LME stocks are still fal...

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In Media

Global Focus - The world in transition

The world economy is in transition. Global growth rates are picking up, but transition means elevated risks and volatility. In terms of global implications, all eyes will be on the US and China, with the US normalising monetary policy and China rebalancing its economy.