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  • 10-Apr – Our call on a MAS move is a close one - Updated Thu April 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – March CPI likely edged up owing to unseasonal rain • China – Weak demand may have weighed on trade growth • Japan – Feb MoR likely shrank, Mar PPI inflation likely slowed • Market focus • We expect the MAS to recent...

  • UK – Going to the polls - Updated Thu April 9, 2015

    You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Monday 13 April 2015 at 15:00 SG/HK (07:00 GMT) and 15:00 London BST (14:00 GMT/10:00 NY/22:00 SG/HK) with: Session 1: • Sarah Hewin, Chief Economist, Europe ...

  • 09-Apr – A pause for breath or a policy inflection? - Updated Wed April 8, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – Industrial production likely slowed in February • China – We think inflation moderated after the Lunar New Year • China – Credit growth likely slid again in March • Market focus • USD strength in Q1 was almost in ...

  • Singapore – Impact of MAS policy decision - Updated Wed April 8, 2015

    • You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Tuesday 14 April 2015 at 10:00 SGT with: • David Mann, Chief Economist, Asia • Jeff Ng, SEA Economist • Divya Devesh, FX Strategist • Topics include: • Rati...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Pausing before a likely leap - Updated Wed April 8, 2015

    Our RGI rose 0.14% m/m in February on lower deposits in Hong Kong and slower cross-border flows • Likely inclusion of the Renminbi in the IMF’s SDR basket could lead to faster internationalisation • The launch of China’s deposit insurance scheme i...

  • 08-Apr – BoK will likely keep the base rate on hold - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the BoE to keep the Bank Rate unchanged • Germany – Industrial production likely rose in February • US – Trilogy of Yellen-Fischer-Dudley speeches make minutes look old • Market focus • BoK will likely lower ...

  • Nigeria – Inflation quickened in run-up to elections - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    The headline Standard Chartered-Premise Consumer Price Tracker for Nigeria rises 0.6% m/m in March • Price rises in several categories are offset by weak demand for discretionary meat and fish products • Impact of election spending and FX weakness...

  • India – A wait and watch policy - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    • RBI maintains status quo on policy rates today; we think further rate cuts are still likely • We expect a 50bps reduction in the repo rate to 7% in FY16, equally split over the next two meetings • Stay Positive on IGBs; Buy 10Y IGBs (entry: 8.0...

  • UK – Going to the polls - Updated Tue April 7, 2015

    Opinion polls point to a high chance of a minority government after the 7 May general election • 2010’s hung parliament saw the largest decline in GBP of any election since 1979 • Political uncertainty and the market’s view that UK rates are on ho...

  • 07-Apr – BoJ is likely to ease further in April - Updated Mon April 6, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – The SIGMA signal is bearish; we remain Positive on IGBs • Taiwan – Exports likely grew in March; inflation may have declined • Philippines – Export growth likely rebounded modestly in February • Market focus • Rece...

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24-Apr – Awaiting another surprise from...

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Beware excessive euphoria • United States – Durable goods to show still-strong industry headwinds • Oil – US oil production set to fall heavily • Market focus • We expect the BoJ to add at least JPY10tn to the asset purchase programme on 30 April • The BoJ...

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