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  • 07-Apr – BoJ is likely to ease further in April - Updated Mon April 6, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • India – The SIGMA signal is bearish; we remain Positive on IGBs • Taiwan – Exports likely grew in March; inflation may have declined • Philippines – Export growth likely rebounded modestly in February • Market focus • Rece...

  • Asia data previews – 3-10 April 2015 - Updated Fri April 3, 2015

    BoJ, RBA and RBI are likely to keep policy rates unchanged but ease further in Q2 • We also expect BoK to keep policy rates on hold for now and act on future data movements • China’s inflation and credit growth could ease, allowing room for furthe...

  • Nigeria’s Presidential Election – The Aftermath - Updated Thu April 2, 2015

    You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Tuesday 7 April 2015 at 2:00PM London (BST) with: •Razia Khan, Managing Director and Chief Economist, Africa •Samir Gadio, Head, Africa Strategy, FICC Research ...

  • Global Research: Top Weekly Reads – 26 March – 1 April 2015 - Updated Thu April 2, 2015

    The following reports received the most reads from external clients, as per anonymous readership data, for the period from 26 March to 1 April 2015. They are listed in descending order of most reads: Global Focus – Hawks, doves and parrots The dol...

  • 02-Apr – India – A pause before easing - Updated Wed April 1, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain cash rate at 2.25% in a close call • Malaysia – We expect lacklustre export growth for February • Philippines – Inflation likely eased in March • Market focus • RBI likely to keep repo rat...

  • 01-Apr – US – The payroll/GDP debate - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Singapore – We expect the PMI to have remained weak • Turkey – Headline CPI likely eased in March • FX – Our forecasts for 2015 and 2016 • Market focus • We look for a moderation in payroll growth: our forecast is 230,000 ...

  • Nigeria – March BSI rises to 61.0 from series-low - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Nigeria’s March BSI increases to 61.0 from a series-low of 57.9 in February • Output and orders rise to their highest levels since December 2014 • FX availability may yet emerge as a constraint on business sentiment...

  • Kenya – March BSI: Positive expectations - Updated Tue March 31, 2015

    Kenya’s BSI rebounds strongly in March to 60.6 from 47.0 in February • Sentiment is more positive across the board – 12 of the 15 current conditions indicators rose in March • Kenyan demand is accelerating; both production and new orders rise str...

  • 31-Mar – BoJ’s Tankan likely to show a mixed picture - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • UK – We expect the manufacturing PMI to have improved further • South Korea – CPI inflation was likely low; trade surplus likely increased • China – Manufacturing sector likely remained sluggish in March • Market focus • Bo...

  • Euro area – If Greece leaves, can Portugal stay? - Updated Mon March 30, 2015

    Glacial progress on reform and rising deposit flight raise the risk of Greece leaving the euro • Current ultra-low yields are not pricing in any contagion risk, but Grexit would challenge this view • We look at risks for Portugal, which would mov...



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27-Apr – Weak US Q1 growth may stump the Fed

Top 3 data/events • Philippines – Trade balance likely improved on sluggish import growth • Japan – Retail sales probably weakened y/y in March on a high base • UK – Consumption to drive growth, investment under pressure • Market focus • We think US Q1 GDP expanded only 0.5% q/q SAAR...

In Media

Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.