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  • Singapore – We expect another MAS move in April - Updated Wed March 11, 2015

    We expect the MAS to follow up on January’s surprise easing by re-centring the band 2% lower • We examine what we think are the six most plausible MAS decision scenarios • FX: Maintain Underweight FX weighting on the SGD; remain short SGD-THB v...

  • 11-Mar – India: A data-heavy week - Updated Tue March 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Australia – Unemployment rate likely rose again to a 13-year high • South Korea – We expect the BoK to remain on hold • Euro area – Industrial production likely registered modest growth • Market focus • February CPI likel...

  • ECB QE – Will it work? - Updated Tue March 10, 2015

    • You are cordially invited to join us for an exclusive conference call presentation on Thursday 12 March 2015. There will be 2 sessions: 16:00 SG/HK / 08:00 London (GMT) and 15:00 London (GMT) / 11:00 NY (EDT) with: • Sarah Hewin, Head, Macro Res...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Embracing reforms - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    • RGI rose 2.3% m/m in January, the fastest gain in eight months; index shows steady momentum • We see upside risk to USD-CNY in the near term; band widening is unlikely until at least H2-2015 • Shanghai FTZ spearheads capital account liberalisati...

  • Nigeria – SC-PCPT up; monetary policy seen on hold - Updated Mon March 9, 2015

    The Standard-Chartered Premise Consumer Price Tracker shows a 0.4% m/m increase in February Price pressures are more pronounced following an end to FX subsidies via the RDAS We expect pressure on the FX rate to be sustained ahead of planned electi...

  • 09-Mar – BoT to stay put on policy rate - Updated Sun March 8, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China - Weak consumer confidence suggests further deflationary pressure • Philippines - Export growth seen rebounding modestly • China – Little support for band widening near-term • Market focus • We reiterate our call that...

  • Global Research: Top Weekly Reads – 27 February – 5 March 2015 - Updated Fri March 6, 2015

    The following reports received the most reads from external clients, as per anonymous readership data, for the period from 27 February to 5 March 2015. They are listed in descending order of most reads: CNY – The real story on CNY weakness Oil Not...

  • Asia data previews – 6-13 March 2015 - Updated Fri March 6, 2015

    China’s growth indices likely to continue the downtrend; deflationary pressures are rising • India’s CPI inflation likely stayed benign in February, fuelling expectations of more rate cuts • We expect the RBNZ, BoK and BoT to keep policy rates on ...

  • Euro area: Brave new world - Updated Thu March 5, 2015

    Easy money, cheap energy and a competitive euro should boost growth; the ECB is bullish • We revise up 2015 euro-area GDP and see above-trend growth in 2016 as ECB QE gains traction • Diverging ECB-Fed policy will continue to weigh on the euro; we...

  • China – NPC sets official growth target at ‘about 7%’ - Updated Thu March 5, 2015

    Official c.7% target is lowest since 1999; more policy stimulus likely as officials see rising headwinds • Budget deficit target lifted to 2.3% of GDP; monetary policy stance to be accommodative • Financial reforms – such as interest rate libera...

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02-Apr – India – A pause before easing

Top 3 data/events • Australia – RBA likely to maintain cash rate at 2.25% in a close call • Malaysia – We expect lacklustre export growth for February • Philippines – Inflation likely eased in March • Market focus • RBI likely to keep repo rate at 7.5% in April, may consider...

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Technology: Reshaping the global economy

Digital technology is transforming the economy and society. Adoption, not invention, has the most economic impact. Technology can lift developed countries if they embrace change. New technologies offer more opportunities than challenges for emerging markets.