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  • Taiwan – Upbeat on Q1 growth despite slow Q4 - Updated Wed February 11, 2015

    Preliminary Q4 GDP growth slowed y/y; we remain upbeat on Q1 growth, however • Inflation risk is receding due to falling oil prices; we expect policy rate to stay on hold at 1.875% in March • TWD FX: We recommend Underweight short- and medium-te...

  • 11-Feb – Greece and the walk from ‘no’ to ‘yes’ - Updated Tue February 10, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Japan – We see further PPI slowdown; a pick-up in machinery orders • India – CPI likely rose in January; we await revised CPI series • UK – Inflation Report to be scrutinised for rate-hike hints • Market focus • Greece will...

  • India – Statistical boost to GDP to continue in FY16 - Updated Tue February 10, 2015

    • India’s revised GDP series indicates that the economy has recovered rapidly in the past two years • However, high-frequency activity indicators show significant slack • Sharp fall in inflation rather than improvement in volume growth likely led ...

  • 10-Feb – BSP is in no rush to change policy stance - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • Malaysia – We expect Q4 GDP to have slowed versus previous quarters • Singapore – Take profit on pay 2Y IRS vs 2Y SGS • Australia – We expect muted job creation for January • Market focus • We expect the BSP to keep its pol...

  • Offshore Renminbi – Another year of progress ahead - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    • 2014 was another strong year for CNH market development, with the RGI rising 53% • We outline our top 10 calls for 2015 for the Renminbi and its internationalisation • Formosa bonds are set to receive more policy support; KRW-CNY direct trading ...

  • Nigeria – The SC-PCPT and delayed elections - Updated Mon February 9, 2015

    The Standard Chartered-Premise Consumer Price Tracker reveals a 0.5% m/m decline in January prices • Lower oil prices may be offsetting upward influences on prices of staples, including NGN weakness • Our tracker shows minimal inflationary pressur...

  • 09-Feb – Euro area is turning the corner - Updated Sun February 8, 2015

    Top 3 data/events • China – Deflationary pressure justifies a looser policy stance • Philippines – Export growth likely remained robust in December • Malaysia – Industrial production likely slowed further in December 2014 • Market focus • Th...

  • Asia leverage – China’s debt/GDP ratio stabilises - Updated Fri February 6, 2015

    • China’s q/q GDP growth is now in line with credit growth, ending the period of worsening debt/GDP ratios • China’s debt/GDP ratio may end 2015 flat versus mid-2014, a significant achievement • External debt is in focus for India, Indonesia and...

  • Asia macro trackers – Room for monetary easing - Updated Fri February 6, 2015

    • The Philippines emerges as the best performer in Asia in Q4-2014 • Thailand’s growth tracker signals a pick-up in GDP from very soft levels; Indonesia’s GDP remains soft • Current account trackers are stronger than before ...

  • Asia data previews – 6-13 February 2015 - Updated Fri February 6, 2015

    Lunar New Year holiday distortion likely to support China’s January export data • We expect more uncertainty than usual for India’s GDP following changes in how it is measured • The Philippines’ central bank (BSP) is likely to leave policy unchang...



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05-Mar – US focus: From payrolls to pay rise

Top 3 data/events • Taiwan – Elevated TWD NEER to weigh on the TWD • South Korea – We expect a BoK rate cut in Q2-2015 • Malaysia – Exports likely slowed in January • Market focus • We see NFPs at 230,000 from 257,000 and unemployment at 5.6% • The Fed may remove ‘patient’ from its...

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